According to foreign media (futurism.com), the handover of old and new years is always full of emotions - mixed feelings of optimism and anxiety. At the same time, this is also an opportunity to review, reflect and predict the future.
In 2016, there were many “firsts†about artificial intelligence (AI): Tesla’s autopilot system first predicted the car accident, Alexa was summoned as a murder witness, the White House published an artificial intelligence white paper, and Google’s AlphaGo Defeat the human champion in the Go game. The 2016 AI warfare has passed, and as AI technology further penetrates into every aspect of people's daily lives, AI is expected to usher in greater progress in 2017.
Here are some of the prospects we have made in this regard.
More personalized AI
2016 saw the growth of artificial intelligence products for consumers. Alexa, Siri and Xiaona have become standard equipment for everyone's handheld devices. Amazon even opens Alexa to third-party developers for free. It can be expected that AI will appear on more apps in 2017, and other tech giants will follow Amazon's open strategy and open their own AI systems to developers.
Through this more collaborative approach, we can finally expect to see the personal development of artificial intelligence. AI programs with unique personality, temperament and even different levels of intelligence will appear in large numbers.
(Several AI algorithms that help machine thinking. Figure /CIO Journal/NarraTIve Science)
Better conversation interaction
Trying to talk to Siri or Alexa is often maddening. First of all, they don't have much sense of humor; secondly, these robot ladies are still unable to meet all of our expectations for an assistant. Frankly speaking, they are very boring and not talkative.
But in 2017, this may be going to change.
Jim McHugh, NVIDIA's vice president and general manager, predicts that in 2017, a chat bot will pass the Turing test, which has the same pattern of reaction as humans, so that most people can't judge whether it is a human or a machine. Advances in machine learning, natural language processing, and pattern recognition technology are driving this AI generation and ultimately driving more humanized AI programs.
“In the future, we will see the progress of the system in the humanization process, including more natural and smoother conversations. – It will be able to solve multiple needs according to the context. Machines can understand human values ​​and intentions more deeply, such as identification. Our commitment to others in emails and text messages," said Microsoft Research General Manager Eric Horvitz.
In the near future, you can have a deep and meaningful conversation with Alexa.
Machine cognition
Consulting firm Ovum said: "Machine learning will be the biggest disintegrator of big data analysis in 2017." The mechanism of deep learning and neural networks simulates the hierarchical cognitive processing mechanism of the human brain and has shown a machine that achieves humanoid levels. The feasibility of intelligence.
With the massive upgrade of parallel processing capabilities that enable the network to handle larger blocks of data, we can look forward to making even more progress in machine learning in 2017. The "Generation Against Convergence Network" (GAN) is the next big step in machine learning. GAN is essentially a dual network, one learning from the data set and the other identifying the true and false data.
The machine learning ability will usher in a big upgrade in 2017 and begin to get close to understanding.
Effective assistant
Harry Shum, executive vice president of Microsoft's artificial intelligence and research department, has an optimistic outlook for the development of AI in the coming year:
“In 2017, we will see the acceleration of AI deployment for individuals and organizations. As technology advances, computers gain greater power to perceive and understand our world – bringing more productivity while bringing more Fun. It will also help to meet the social challenges of illness and poverty and poverty."
This seems to be the consensus of people on the development of artificial intelligence in the new year. It is not a mysterious singularity, nor is it a sudden "machine awakening" that brings misfortune to mankind. These things are just illusions, and the reality will be much flatter.
If AI means the evolution of human tools, but is given a limited, almost instinctive consciousness, then the future robot will be the right hand of human beings. So, don't expect sci-fi robots like "Tianwang" or "Haer 9000" to appear in 2017, the reality will not be so dramatic. People take small steps forward to a new era, where our tools will have the same perception and responsiveness as humans.
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