5G is approaching our lives. The closely-connected communications equipment, major telecom operators, and handset manufacturers are also bound to usher in new changes and innovations. According to industry insiders, the entry threshold for 5G technology is significantly higher than that of 4G, making it highly dependent on technology. The pattern of handset manufacturers in the 5G era is expected to change.
The footsteps of 5G are coming to us step by step. The reporter noted that since the beginning of December, various 5G concepts have continued to heat up. On December 8, China Telecom announced the opening of the 5G pilot in Lanzhou. On December 2, at the World Internet Conference, Huawei and Qualcomm both announced commercial time for 5G mobile terminals.
From the era of 2G, 3G, and 4G communications, every upgrade of telecommunications technology has changed people's lives. At the same time, there are industrial chain companies such as equipment manufacturers and terminal vendors. When the horn of “5G Change Society†came to us, the upgrading of the new generation of communication technologies in terms of speed, access, etc., gave rise to the arrival of the “replacement surgeâ€.
From the perspective of the 5G industry chain, the upstream of the industry includes base stations, antennas, optical cables, chips, radio frequency devices, and other communications equipment. The middle reaches of the industry are major telecom operators, and ordinary users are directly involved in terminal equipment such as mobile phones. Lin Zhihong, deputy general manager of MediaTek's wireless communications division, said in an interview with the “Daily Economic News†that the entry threshold for 5G technology is significantly higher than that of 4G, which makes it dependent on technology, and the pattern of mobile phone manufacturers may be expected to change.
As a carrier for the basic communications capabilities, telecom operators play a central role. A person from China Telecom told the reporter of the “Daily Economic News†that at present, 5G pilots have been conducted in Xi'an, Shenzhen, Shanghai, Suzhou, Chengdu, and Lanzhou, and a small-scale network has been set up for field testing. Although the fifth-generation communications technology is expected to be three years away from full commercial use, the current level of popularity has continued unabated.
On December 1st, the first standard of 5G non-independent networking was frozen, and the 5G system architecture and process standards for the independent networking (SA) were finalized. These all marked the determination of the new architecture to fully realize the 5G goal. .
Yang Guang, deputy director of the Institute of Wireless and Terminal Technology of China Mobile Research Institute, told Daily Economic News that for operators of mobile communications, operators' ability to "manage the cloud" has ushered in the 5G era. From the perspective of terminals, there are more perceptions. In addition to smart phones, there are various kinds of sensing devices. From the perspective of pipelines, when China Mobile has 3G and 4G in the early stage, it is very good for people's communication connections, and it is 5G. At the time, it gradually extended to the connection of objects; in the cloud, 5G and artificial intelligence are well integrated, and 5G will generate a large amount of material data, which will be realized through artificial intelligence and generate more value.
For the new features presented by 5G, operators represented by China Mobile are mainly engaged in four areas, including key technology research, standardization, industry promotion, and ecological construction. Among them, industry promotion involves the upgrading of communications hardware capabilities of carrier partners, and ecological construction is through 5G joint innovation incubation applications.
“The person who gets the standard is the worldâ€, judging from the current stage, the fight for discourse power in the 5G standard is undoubtedly the center of gravity. Outside of Qualcomm and Huawei, telecom operations are also a force that cannot be ignored. The 5G System Architecture (5GS) project was led by China Mobile as a reporter. This is the first time that the Chinese have taken the lead in designing the mobile network architecture.
It is inevitable that the mobile phone industry will usher in an outbreak beyond the carrier's ability to carry out the basic capabilities of 5G communications. Yang Guang told the Daily Economic News reporter that chip and terminal equipment companies have been paying close attention to 5G and tracking the standards. At the same time, it said that compared to 4G and 3G, the deployment of standards to the deployment of business products has greatly shortened expectations. If the 2018 standard can be achieved, commercial products will be launched by 2019. However, it is not 100% sure now that the upgrade of 5G technology is much more complex than the 4G era.
The competition of 5G mobile phone technology is obviously more intense than that of operators. In October, Qualcomm said that the first 5G data connection was implemented based on the X50 baseband, and the X50 reached the gigabit speed using 28GHz millimeter wave spectrum. At the same time, 5G mobile phones equipped with Qualcomm communications technology are expected to debut in the first half of 2019. On the Huawei side, CEO Xu Zhijun revealed that "Huawei will launch a full-scale 5G network equipment solution for large-scale commercial applications in 2018, support global operators to deploy 5G networks, and will launch a 5G Kirin chip in 2019, with simultaneous launch support. 5G smart phone."
"In the low-frequency test phase, there is no problem in the average user's rate of more than one trillion megabytes. In the future, we are still considering millimeter waves. Above 30 GHZ, the initial peak value will reach 14G and 15G," said Yang Guang. However, due to the characteristics of the 5G band, external concerns about 5G communications are mainly concentrated on the signal coverage, hardware cost and reliability, which all constitute a test for the corresponding hardware manufacturers.
Lin Chih-hung told reporters that the introduction of 5G mobile phones is much more expensive than 4G era. Some millimeter-wave technical difficulties are still being studied on how to overcome them. From the market point of view, how quickly will the 5G penetration rate be? From the technical difficulty point of view, fewer manufacturers can get 5G tickets. At the same time, it said that the cost of 5G is superimposed on 4G, and the terminal price may not be too cheap. If the entire technology is mature, mobile phone companies that are sure to run fast will change the industry landscape.
Currently, the dividends of 4G handsets in mature markets are gradually receding, and the cycle of consumers' replacement is longer. 5G is expected to become a new outlet for mobile phone upgrades. The innovation of each generation of communication technology is accompanied by a new round of bonuses, accompanied by market risks.
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